Markets on the weather in 167 cities, settled on one number: the hourly consensus of eleven feeds published by Weather Data Market, hashed and anchored on a public ledger. The forecast's probability sits beside every price.
Simulation: you start with 10,000 sUSDT and nothing here has monetary value. Powered by Weather Data Market
| City | Temp | WDI | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| London United Kingdom | 19.0°C | 42.2 | verified |
| Seoul South Korea | 18.0°C | 44.5 | verified |
| Tokyo Japan | 21.5°C | 52.3 | verified |
| Singapore Singapore | 27.6°C | 54.9 | verified |
| Sydney Australia | 13.6°C | 43.8 | verified |
| Dubai United Arab Emirates | 34.0°C | 54.2 | mixed |
| New York United States | 59.5°F | 49.4 | verified |
| Sao Paulo Brazil | 27.4°C | 49.1 | mixed |
Many weather markets settle on one airport METAR and treat it as the truth. METAR reports go missing and arrive late — a fact rarely published by the data suppliers behind those markets. Weather Data Market records every METAR every five minutes, checks every hourly run against the measurements and anchors the result on-chain. We publish what it finds, city by city.
See the METAR record →The oracle’s hourly consensus of eleven feeds, outliers excluded, verified against the measured sources.
Every run hashed and written to a public ledger; the run id and anchor sit on every settled market.
An hour the feeds cannot corroborate voids the market and refunds every position at cost.
The 16-day forecast’s own probability on every card, so the edge is visible before you trade.
YES/NO shares on one condition at one hour, from an LMSR market maker seeded at the model probability. Six questions per city per day, four horizons, every category the oracle reports.
Open the board →Pick the city, the condition, the hour and the amount. The premium is the model probability times the cover, loaded and fee’d, shown line by line. Pays in full when the determination says met.
Design a cover →The verdict is the product: met, not met or withheld, with the value, the feeds that agreed and disagreed, the run id and the on-chain anchor. Final once issued. Same condition, same hour, same answer for everyone.
How it is made →Eight product lines, the same in every city. Pick a city and see only what it has on: today's lines, the dates on offer, the prices, and the record of the days already settled.
One question, several outcomes: where it will rain, what a city's temperature will be.
Temperature, rain, wind and humidity at the target hour; the station's daily high and low; the WDI and TDI indices. A city shows only the lines it has on.
Each line offers tomorrow, three, seven and fourteen days out. One date shows; the others are a tap away. Under each line, the record of the days already settled.